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Value To Be Found In Chindonesia – Swiss & Global Asset Management
Vincent Lagger and Jian Shi Cortesi
Swiss & Global Asset Management
8 November 2011
Vincent Lagger and Jian Shi Cortesi, fund managers of UCITS 3 fund the JB Chindonesia
Fund at Swiss & Global Asset Management, tell WealthBriefingAsia why Chindonesia is this years' buzz-word. Chindonesia
(China, India and Indonesia) is home to 40
per cent of the world’s population, around 2.8 billion people, and will add at
least 170 million people to its workforce over the next ten years. Despite robust domestic growth and financial discipline,
the Chindonesian equity markets could not escape the sell-off triggered by the
never-ending eurozone sovereign crisis. Investors are ignoring the strong long
term fundamentals and are adopting a short-termist approach. The recent correction saw valuations drop to levels seen during
the troughs of the financial crisis, however, this has provided investors with
an attractive entry point to the Chindonesia growth story. The MSCI China’s
price-to-book ratio of 1.4x sits below the 2008-2009 lows of 1.6x, and even
remains cheap when the troubled banking sector is removed from the equation. Indian equities are trading at levels witnessed in 2004 which is
low, especially after factoring-in a potential loosening of monetary conditions
and easing commodity prices. Despite
the short-term turmoil, Chindonesia’s structural growth drivers will continue
to drive the economy, with domestic-focused companies continuing to increase
earnings at a double digit pace. The long-term growth story remains intact.
Infrastructure investments are still booming while the prospects of the huge
middle-class keep improving thanks to labour reforms and rising farmers’
income. The
resulting consumption boom is visible in many industries as goods become more
affordable. Additionally, should the private sector require stimulus,
Chindonesian policymakers can still rely on healthy public finances to help
compensate for falling western demand.